Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico State Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe72e028f7f541ba649e50c2a31dd6a0acd76ac97c239b762fd8f0e8119918ca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico State Aggiesof Sam Houston Bearkats, New Mexico State Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 69c | 1,243$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.01 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 34c | 1,000$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.43 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 27c | 849.96$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.97 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 41c | 500$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed New Mexico State Aggies | 73c | 420$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 62c | 327.45$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 61c | 284$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed New Mexico State Aggies | 67c | 270$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 34c | 225$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 38c | 195.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 8c | 188.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed New Mexico State Aggies | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed New Mexico State Aggies | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 35c | 56.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 35c | 54.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 75c | 54.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 65c | 28.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico State Aggiesthis page
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico State Aggies: O/U 154.5Over won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico State Aggies: O/U 155.5Over won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico State Aggies: O/U 156.5Over won
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico State Aggies: O/U 157.5Over won
- Spread: New Mexico State Aggies (-3.5)New Mexico State Aggies won
- Spread: New Mexico State Aggies (-4.5)New Mexico State Aggies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.