TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: China PR 1 - 0 Thailand?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2bac…3ce7backed Yes13c393.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505923.7%14 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+73.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c363.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e5…be5ebacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Yes15c186.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284725.5%12 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes14c175$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.563229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf782…9b43backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes23c132.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes13c102.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.332646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4d…01c3backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.