CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe762b80ed9091b6fc6bfcf32fd5bfaae473e38da7249605db977b0c497150f30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof GenOne, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 1,732$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 1,119$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed GenOne | 33c | 764.58$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.37 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked GenOne | 34c | 719.79$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.06 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked GenOne | 33c | 700$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked GenOne | 33c | 420.57$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.85 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked GenOne | 34c | 360$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 325.7$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 300.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked GenOne | 33c | 203.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed GenOne | 36c | 114.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GenOne | 34c | 104$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked GenOne | 33c | 76.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed GenOne | 36c | 64.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ex-RUSTEC | 61c | 62.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed GenOne | 36c | 44.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 15.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 PlayoffsGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerGenOne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.