Tennis · resolved market
Lincoln: Jie Cui vs Thomas Fancutt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7782a7ff7e222b298edaa34cf7927fbac54c3f32900105f989f96a091f81b50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jie Cuiof Jie Cui, Thomas Fancutt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thomas Fancutt | 11c | 420.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Thomas Fancutt | 12c | 414.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thomas Fancutt | 6c | 409.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Thomas Fancutt | 12c | 385.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Thomas Fancutt | 21c | 244.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thomas Fancutt | 15c | 197.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Thomas Fancutt | 14c | 160.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Thomas Fancutt | 14c | 147$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Jie Cui | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jie Cui | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Thomas Fancutt | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Thomas Fancutt | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Thomas Fancutt | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Jie Cui | 80c | 45.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…819bbacked Thomas Fancutt | 29c | 43.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Jie Cui | 71c | 35.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6a…77b8backed Jie Cui | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jie Cui | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.