TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Arizona win the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball regular season championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 582 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x940c…495ebacked No32c494.06$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6189…08fcbacked No33c441$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd971…0762backed No25c437$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aaf…55e0backed No33c372$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8572…cc52backed No25c350$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc177…d6cfbacked No29c339$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d0…b51ebacked No29c336$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7b…eebfbacked No33c332$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccb3…8220backed No27c332$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45c…05f0backed No28c312$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf77b…d836backed No25c304$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa893…6d10backed No29c291$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5473…0ea1backed No28c285$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1db…653fbacked No28c262$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b53…5de1backed No28c257$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e1…fea3backed No34c256$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0481…89c6backed No24c255$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e2…0fdabacked No34c245$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e6…87febacked No28c244$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes76c243$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4518147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…42fdbacked No34c235$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6983…113ebacked No34c229$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79af…5a09backed No28c202$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b22…c2b6backed No28c197$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…9364backed No36c194$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e3…432fbacked No36c193$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc018…c602backed Yes75c192$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fd…d98dbacked No28c187$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x652d…3197backed Yes68c183$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3de…83f4backed Yes75c176$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1232…7d65backed Yes75c175$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9029…0b48backed No28c174$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d2…e4b3backed No36c173.03$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde60…1174backed No28c167$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a9…e641backed No29c166$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c96…3289backed No37c162$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ff0…f512backed Yes68c161$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c86…d7c2backed Yes75c158$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc08c…546abacked No24c158$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c19…4bbbbacked Yes68c157$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…6668backed No34c156$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x313f…da8abacked No28c156$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…6ccbbacked Yes67c153$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e16…89c6backed No29c153$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf900…45e9backed No37c146$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…fcffbacked Yes67c146$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bf…eea7backed No29c144$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0328…5cf9backed No28c142$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…3a94backed Yes67c142$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…82a4backed No25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6c…62adbacked Yes67c136$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db8…6558backed No28c136$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb676…4675backed No29c136$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e9…c5e3backed Yes75c136$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb51a…9b41backed No29c134$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba3…159dbacked No37c133$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…7b8fbacked No29c131$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36dd…ad3fbacked Yes71c129$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8039…1d64backed Yes75c129$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c6…e86fbacked No36c127$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41be…68b8backed Yes71c127$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…7491backed Yes75c127$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e45…1e95backed Yes50c127$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7672…b885backed No36c127$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…e808backed Yes75c125$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c0…ad38backed Yes50c124$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a7…4c37backed Yes50c123$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7a…6e00backed Yes67c122$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x461f…4360backed Yes50c122$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1481…45c2backed Yes67c122$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…c23ebacked No37c122$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd8…3bfcbacked No50c121$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c91…7559backed Yes50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5fb…599cbacked Yes73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cc…0d20backed No29c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd1…f57abacked No50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfccc…c56abacked No28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d7…21e0backed No50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x556b…37b5backed No50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b17…ed04backed No36c119$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebe…a336backed No50c118$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4461…d120backed No37c117$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb93b…912abacked Yes71c117$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc33…be3bbacked Yes50c117$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa512…e725backed Yes72c116$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373b…a572backed No33c115$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bbf…4608backed No50c115$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7476…2b1dbacked Yes50c115$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcca3…b16cbacked Yes73c115$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…0a81backed No50c114$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cdf…9b9bbacked Yes67c114$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde87…5f32backed Yes50c114$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…ccb0backed No28c114$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2e…2a9ebacked Yes50c113$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe068…12bcbacked Yes72c113$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3801…bca5backed No37c113$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e21…6ff8backed No37c112.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16d2…49c1backed No29c112$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…b19ebacked Yes50c112$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4308…1233backed No50c111$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.