Asian League · resolved market
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7d417e89560876e7a60ef002318936ed97d7c63b40e3122bf020052812ae6f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,275 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 31c | 2,098$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.33 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 46c | 1,723$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 1,466$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.89 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 69c | 878.76$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.67 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 615.17$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.09 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 50c | 503.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 68c | 498.42$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.51 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…cec8backed Over | 58c | 467.47$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 451.59$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.49 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 55c | 386$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.7 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 323.39$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.09 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…a382backed Under | 42c | 236.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dec…058cbacked Under | 42c | 231.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 198.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Under | 45c | 126.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 54c | 124.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 54c | 124.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 31c | 113.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 103.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 53c | 97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 54c | 87.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 69c | 73.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 71c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 47c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Over | 54c | 20.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 54c | 19.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 54c | 19.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Taawoun Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.