Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Dinamo City vs. NK Aluminij end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe80f53c77aa2c5b70f458e143e256f00a8d87ffb0921e4ab6bf2015d5d415ac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 69c | 2,119$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.28 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,737$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.55 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 6c | 822.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Yes | 28c | 518.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 31c | 311.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 150.78$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 116$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 71c | 97.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 30c | 83.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 69.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 72c | 31.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Dinamo City vs. NK Aluminij end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
- Will NK Aluminij win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.