CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe866aeb40463e565463f8d8aeddd08d3dfb2cc8fe3970d431a891f7edeb3ffa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Nemiga | 42c | 2,478$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.88 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Walczaki | 58c | 1,946$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.78 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Walczaki | 58c | 1,070$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.3 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Walczaki | 53c | 1,035$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.67 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga | 47c | 745$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Nemiga | 55c | 709$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.43 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Walczaki | 57c | 702.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.46 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Walczaki | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Nemiga | 43c | 687.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.84 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Walczaki | 60c | 525$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.05 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Walczaki | 55c | 501.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.81 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Nemiga | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Nemiga | 38c | 420$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Nemiga | 44c | 245$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0d…a507backed Nemiga | 50c | 229.29$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Nemiga | 41c | 208.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga | 45c | 186.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Nemiga | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Walczaki | 53c | 154.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Walczaki | 59c | 134.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Nemiga | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed Nemiga | 42c | 128.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga | 48c | 115.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Nemiga | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Walczaki | 56c | 88.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Walczaki | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Nemiga | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Walczaki | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Nemiga | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Nemiga | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Nemiga | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 48c | 26.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 PlayoffsWalczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.