Other European Leagues · resolved market
BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe88a57efe9dd3e18547b52c7118cd252022ae3f66400a3f2f04a54dff8450666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 20c | 8,555$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.25 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 4,761$3,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 742.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…54b0backed Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 30c | 460$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 79c | 317$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 79c | 236.15$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 77c | 144.61$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 77c | 104.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 21c | 86.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 78c | 63.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 78c | 46.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 80c | 45.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…0f17backed Under | 79c | 30.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 79c | 24.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 80c | 19.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 4.5this page
- BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: BK Hacken O/U 0.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: BK Hacken O/U 2.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 0.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 2.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 3.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)Kalmar FF won
- Spread: Kalmar FF (-1.5)BK Hacken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.