Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Essence vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe897d449e303a76406dcbd8faa032d5d2fad9f3003d35c68e40065599a1e7770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Essenceof Team Essence, Ivory
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,301 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Ivory | 5c | 1,902$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Ivory | 54c | 1,205$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.65 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Essence | 46c | 952.99$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.71 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Essence | 49c | 820.17$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…dcb0backed Ivory | 33c | 523$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe16…0621backed Ivory | 49c | 402$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Ivory | 51c | 393.47$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.09 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…0593backed Ivory | 52c | 348$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…d555backed Ivory | 20c | 345$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…90d3backed Team Essence | 80c | 308$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Essence | 51c | 299.85$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b29…9fe0backed Team Essence | 67c | 295$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d88…c91cbacked Team Essence | 51c | 289$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Ivory | 63c | 236.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce63…b7b2backed Ivory | 35c | 236$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…af24backed Team Essence | 51c | 232.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…1dc3backed Ivory | 49c | 228.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…2f10backed Team Essence | 67c | 228$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…5b78backed Ivory | 33c | 201$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Team Essence | 19c | 199.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.97 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aca…fc47backed Team Essence | 51c | 195$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6487…0894backed Team Essence | 48c | 187$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +151.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Ivory | 43c | 172.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…474ebacked Team Essence | 48c | 167$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Essence | 18c | 164.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.77 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Team Essence | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Ivory | 53c | 158.27$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Ivory | 69c | 147.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…557ebacked Team Essence | 51c | 147$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Ivory | 51c | 142.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.39 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Team Essence | 71c | 139.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Essence | 46c | 126.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…c352backed Team Essence | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Team Essence | 26c | 118.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…018abacked Team Essence | 65c | 111$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Team Essence | 45c | 110.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ec…3998backed Team Essence | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…17b5backed Ivory | 52c | 107$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…450dbacked Team Essence | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…3e92backed Team Essence | 55c | 96.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ba…adb3backed Team Essence | 55c | 95.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +387.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Ivory | 54c | 93.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5c…7256backed Team Essence | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Ivory | 39c | 87.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Ivory | 20c | 83.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Team Essence | 56c | 79.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Ivory | 66c | 52.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Team Essence | 26c | 51.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Team Essence | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Ivory | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee6…0668backed Team Essence | 41c | 48.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Ivory | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Team Essence | 50c | 42.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eac…1344backed Team Essence | 50c | 40.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…0a56backed Team Essence | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6d…f901backed Ivory | 44c | 34.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…e2b1backed Team Essence | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Ivory | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Ivory | 51c | 26.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Team Essence | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Team Essence | 53c | 22.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Team Essence | 46c | 21.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Essence vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Essence vs Ivory - Game 2 WinnerTeam Essence won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.