Cricket · resolved market
Asia Cup: India vs Pakistan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8ce829d288f187d62312870539d88f75ac9dcb2b349d672329e2a9d5eeac1f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiaof India, Pakistan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pakistan | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ac…2287backed India | 78c | 6,335$4,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed India | 78c | 4,240$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed Pakistan | 3c | 1,589$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pakistan | 12c | 1,164$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…4eddbacked Pakistan | 7c | 1,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Pakistan | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked India | 77c | 909.09$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pakistan | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942a…ad45backed India | 77c | 573.64$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…65bfbacked Pakistan | 27c | 505$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed India | 72c | 502.44$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.45 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed India | 70c | 433.79$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106c…474cbacked Pakistan | 12c | 402.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b3…2a31backed Pakistan | 7c | 334.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc80…7566backed Pakistan | 30c | 313$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…f06cbacked India | 78c | 299.65$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e8…abbbbacked India | 78c | 257.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pakistan | 22c | 253.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…8f9abacked India | 79c | 251.92$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0e…47b8backed Pakistan | 20c | 246.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…9e8abacked Pakistan | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd3…a797backed Pakistan | 29c | 160.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…9bbfbacked Pakistan | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…0f12backed Pakistan | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…6a35backed Pakistan | 33c | 155$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…15c5backed India | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…3f53backed Pakistan | 33c | 143.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed India | 78c | 128.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Pakistan | 18c | 101.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c0…e9ecbacked Pakistan | 25c | 98.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…e8ebbacked Pakistan | 29c | 86.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…81c4backed Pakistan | 29c | 86.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…4d50backed Pakistan | 21c | 84.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Pakistan | 24c | 78.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Pakistan | 24c | 78.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4431…70b4backed Pakistan | 26c | 76.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2477…4493backed India | 76c | 34.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…719abacked India | 76c | 32.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed India | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee8…650abacked India | 77c | 25.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…3995backed India | 77c | 18.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +42%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf94e…850ebacked India | 76c | 18.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c3…6ea3backed India | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.