MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8e0241c0efc895ec6d207cec1c5830eb81ea6f9ecb1b254599cc9866e67acf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 51c | 5,866$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.32 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 4,570$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.63 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 1,054$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 47c | 1,022$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.18 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 53c | 660.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.66 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Under | 50c | 601.23$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.62 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 328.75$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.45 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 221.24$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 166.05$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 149.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Under | 75c | 143$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Over | 49c | 134.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 107.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 47c | 105.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…b9d0backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 95.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 93.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Under | 55c | 89.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 48c | 80.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Over | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…c0eebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Under | 51c | 38.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 34.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…359dbacked Over | 47c | 26.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…823dbacked Over | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.