Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Munar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8f51c19edf6f15416e20d89e359a145724db7168a3c2531076dfc34e80980e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Munarof Khachanov, Munar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Khachanov | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +506.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Khachanov | 4c | 1,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +1,288.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…d9bebacked Khachanov | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b8…1762backed Khachanov | 57c | 775.28$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Munar | 47c | 671.6$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.23 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Munar | 43c | 502.7$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.54 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Khachanov | 50c | 121.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Khachanov | 46c | 113.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Khachanov | 30c | 112.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Khachanov | 55c | 97.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Khachanov | 57c | 64.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Khachanov | 53c | 56.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Khachanov | 50c | 47.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…8a5ebacked Munar | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…82a2backed Munar | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Khachanov | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…58c1backed Khachanov | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…51c4backed Munar | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…6e99backed Khachanov | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…1be3backed Munar | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed Khachanov | 39c | 27.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…beaabacked Munar | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Munar | 50c | 26.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed Munar | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…104bbacked Khachanov | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…5ff4backed Khachanov | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…7aadbacked Khachanov | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Khachanov vs Munarthis page
- Khachanov vs. Munar: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Khachanov vs. Munar: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Khachanov vs. Munar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jaume MunarMunar won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Munar (+1.5)Munar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.