CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9474c99a3af32b2a09115b9f4ab46d65366ddb5d00fbd9a49879a302fc80607
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof BIG, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed BIG | 60c | 1,514$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.04 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Sharks | 56c | 697.42$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.61 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Sharks | 39c | 543.4$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.46 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed BIG | 48c | 466.27$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.61 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sharks | 40c | 392.66$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.81 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked BIG | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Sharks | 56c | 227.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sharks | 40c | 221.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed BIG | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Sharks | 52c | 190.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Sharks | 50c | 127.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Sharks | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Sharks | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Sharks | 43c | 73.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Sharks | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Sharks | 56c | 52.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed BIG | 43c | 45.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed BIG | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Sharks | 40c | 28.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Sharks | 58c | 26.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked BIG | 60c | 23.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed Sharks | 54c | 21.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Sharks | 62c | 19.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Global Finals PlayoffsBIG won
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BIG - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BIG - Map 2 WinnerSharks won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.