College Football · resolved market
Will there be 55 or more combined points scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe94d23a6991a18d892ceecae195894648b4f55db5bfc37b9459867569da3b351
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Under | 48c | 2,098$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.86 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.88 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0f…f4e1backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Over | 50c | 470$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…3eaabacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…1e19backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…4a41backed Over | 55c | 31.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Under | 45c | 30.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be 55 or more combined points scored?this page
- Will Miami beat Florida State by 21 or more points?Yes won
- Will Miami beat Florida State?Miami won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.