NHL · resolved market
AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Hartford Wolf Pack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe975543746fcefdd62288c101d4df60c8ec09cb518d2a1d021985c339066761a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte Checkersof Charlotte Checkers, Hartford Wolf Pack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 41c | 720$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.38 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Charlotte Checkers | 59c | 583.38$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Charlotte Checkers | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 37c | 132.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Charlotte Checkers | 60c | 82.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…013abacked Charlotte Checkers | 61c | 82.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 41c | 40.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Charlotte Checkers | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 40c | 30.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Charlotte Checkers | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Charlotte Checkers | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.