CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs ECSTATIC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9c5147dd0cb1f049c04e80cdd5a61bc58ff8c09873ffa0f31cb4c721cc68764
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof BC.Game Esports, ECSTATIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BC.Game Esports | 3c | 16,264$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.66 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed BC.Game Esports | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ECSTATIC | 40c | 497.5$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked BC.Game Esports | 68c | 265.87$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.33 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BC.Game Esports | 17c | 176.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed BC.Game Esports | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BC.Game Esports | 25c | 128.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked BC.Game Esports | 16c | 101.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 78.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…2872backed BC.Game Esports | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed BC.Game Esports | 43c | 64.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed BC.Game Esports | 19c | 56.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked BC.Game Esports | 68c | 43.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8d…8592backed ECSTATIC | 74c | 36.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed BC.Game Esports | 34c | 33.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked BC.Game Esports | 68c | 29.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked ECSTATIC | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked ECSTATIC | 64c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs ECSTATIC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship PlayoffsECSTATIC won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 WinnerECSTATIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.