Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9e96d2d11c3a77cbecffe4896edcb73ceb37d89c776dfada95f7794a19e69b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c9d…992fbacked Yes | 56c | 3,969$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 3,040$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 7c | 1,224$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 497.52$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.74 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 46c | 441.93$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.64 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Yes | 64c | 399.98$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 44c | 364$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 47c | 309$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 53c | 294.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 290.73$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 44c | 245.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 208.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 62c | 179$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 166.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 59c | 148$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 53c | 135.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 13c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 13c | 94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 38c | 79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 54c | 55.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed No | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…0311backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 47c | 30.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 54c | 28.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Yes | 54c | 27.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 48c | 26.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 45c | 25.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed Yes | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Livingston FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Livingston FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.