Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea45efebc2e72c6a3e21ead18cf297d4a0b767d9ca197a3f59919f18c235a858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 500.07$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.02 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 45c | 400$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 51c | 381$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.86 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…c9c9backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 283.33$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.69 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…0bacbacked Yes | 58c | 260.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 185.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 49c | 160$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 45c | 155.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 44c | 150.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Yes | 50c | 92.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a19…9db9backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.