Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea58a50d58aedab311311a68528186205e1e6c26b728bc236e212898b287f4a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c27…0a7dbacked Under | 24c | 599.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01e…455abacked Over | 76c | 599.35$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 430.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 21c | 390.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 79c | 328.24$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…4f70backed Under | 23c | 293.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…211abacked Over | 77c | 293.94$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 18c | 189.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 18c | 124.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 19c | 90.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…0161backed Over | 78c | 63.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Over | 80c | 14.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5this page
- Charlotte FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: New York Red Bulls (-2.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.