Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
James Madison vs. Georgia Southern
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea7c3bf92de5adc3566397383d2a6da53048e7de56f92b40cc346a5aed55929c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Madisonof James Madison, Georgia Southern
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Georgia Southern | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Georgia Southern | 37c | 319.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked James Madison | 61c | 267.01$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Georgia Southern | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed James Madison | 64c | 244.58$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked James Madison | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Georgia Southern | 34c | 106.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbb…694cbacked James Madison | 63c | 77.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…4546backed James Madison | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…38eabacked Georgia Southern | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…db11backed Georgia Southern | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391f…28bdbacked James Madison | 62c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99d…9f30backed Georgia Southern | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed James Madison | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed James Madison | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8379…3605backed Georgia Southern | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f98…6271backed James Madison | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed James Madison | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…e935backed Georgia Southern | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…1eedbacked James Madison | 65c | 18.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…9ac8backed James Madison | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x183c…744cbacked James Madison | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…078cbacked James Madison | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.