NHL · resolved market
AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Syracuse Crunch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea85f7c438fc0c0de8dd075481932d831ed2304d5944066f19a6775e34749927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Syracuse Crunchof Cleveland Monsters, Syracuse Crunch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,680 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Syracuse Crunch | 55c | 7,331$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.8 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Cleveland Monsters | 44c | 2,050$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 1,173$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.94 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 486$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 451.11$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 288.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 276.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 207.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Cleveland Monsters | 44c | 206.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 206.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 206.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Cleveland Monsters | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Syracuse Crunch | 56c | 180.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Cleveland Monsters | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 129$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Cleveland Monsters | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 51.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Syracuse Crunch | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73cc…a140backed Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Syracuse Crunch | 56c | 35.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cleveland Monsters | 42c | 33.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Cleveland Monsters | 43c | 31.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Cleveland Monsters | 43c | 28.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Syracuse Crunch | 56c | 22.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…f59abacked Cleveland Monsters | 45c | 22.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.