NHL · resolved market
SHL: Djurgaarden vs. Vaexjoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeac14bed4f1846c8ec2c353dbeacc094fbba3f20bb38bc99d1039afee7af4bea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djurgaardenof Djurgaarden, Vaexjoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,913 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Vaexjoe | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Djurgaarden | 49c | 1,158$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Djurgaarden | 46c | 807$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Djurgaarden | 52c | 771.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.15 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Djurgaarden | 49c | 484.59$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.83 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Vaexjoe | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Djurgaarden | 49c | 456.39$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.76 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Vaexjoe | 54c | 446.85$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.27 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Djurgaarden | 49c | 278.2$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.69 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Djurgaarden | 48c | 256.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Djurgaarden | 49c | 230$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Djurgaarden | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Vaexjoe | 48c | 163.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Djurgaarden | 47c | 123.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Djurgaarden | 45c | 111.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Djurgaarden | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Vaexjoe | 53c | 59.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Djurgaarden | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Djurgaarden | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Vaexjoe | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.