La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-03-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeadbd38da3b17be9420f4801c4fa2b4d9c4717cc7c2fd07df4dc0e0036390701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 39c | 6,895$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,236.44 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 6,190$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.07 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 4,353$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.43 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 63c | 2,306$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.28 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 2,091$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 65c | 1,047$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.34 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 6c | 973.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 60c | 817.98$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.79 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 62c | 807.31$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 29c | 800.08$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.06 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 19c | 793.48$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.39 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 20c | 511.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 35c | 437.12$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked No | 4c | 373.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 4c | 280.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 41c | 208.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 203.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 25c | 199.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 18c | 144.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 141.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 19c | 135$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.95 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 18c | 123.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 76c | 92.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 19c | 79.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 57c | 72.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 47c | 62.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 58c | 58.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…3987backed No | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 27c | 52.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 71c | 50.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 44.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed No | 67c | 28.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9949…1d0cbacked Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-03-02?this page
- Will Córdoba CF vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?No won
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-03-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.