Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb58ec83a44f40c9c226e73c6c4a877f5dc35ea9b6aa1d6d610d1e87ad1612e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 54c | 3,001$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.28 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 51c | 739.03$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.21 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 470.85$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.84 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 460.24$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.75 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 437$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.56 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 39c | 424.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.25 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29a…d236backed Over | 56c | 182.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 148.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 26c | 141.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 101.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 96.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 48.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Over | 50c | 42.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed Over | 48c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 48c | 21.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 156.5this page
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-7.5)UNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-8.5)UNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' RebelsUNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.