CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Boring Players (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb70a0f52094857590b9da075fda2477ba45ea0c8f6e0387ae26764d74ef0a8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boring Playersof Alter Ego, Boring Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,104 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Boring Players | 56c | 446.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…a97abacked Boring Players | 19c | 344.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +436.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Alter Ego | 67c | 268.75$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.76 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Alter Ego | 53c | 260.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Alter Ego | 66c | 187.12$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…a821backed Alter Ego | 79c | 183.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Alter Ego | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Alter Ego | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked Boring Players | 19c | 130.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.53 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Boring Players | 16c | 121.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boring Players | 39c | 119.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alter Ego | 73c | 100.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5d…11d5backed Boring Players | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 23cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Boring Players | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…b4c2backed Boring Players | 65c | 96.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Boring Players | 38c | 73.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Boring Players | 38c | 61.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed Alter Ego | 51c | 46.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Alter Ego | 43c | 42.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…927bbacked Alter Ego | 70c | 32.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alter Ego | 78c | 32.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed Alter Ego | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 85.4%35 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Alter Ego | 45c | 22.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Alter Ego | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Alter Ego | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Boring Players (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Boring Players - Map 1 WinnerAlter Ego won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.