Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton 2: Oskari Paldanius vs Peter Makk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb74d8ade9ad5319cae57c0cf8476fd5eacd8269af5b9643573b2937a5078994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oskari Paldaniusof Oskari Paldanius, Peter Makk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Peter Makk | 13c | 15,227$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.87 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Oskari Paldanius | 40c | 1,436$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.12 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Peter Makk | 60c | 1,345$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.2 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oskari Paldanius | 66c | 1,181$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.72 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Oskari Paldanius | 69c | 888.65$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.91 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…ec54backed Peter Makk | 13c | 779.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Peter Makk | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Oskari Paldanius | 40c | 599.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.12 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Oskari Paldanius | 78c | 376.25$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Peter Makk | 60c | 291.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 929 | 53.5%497 W · 432 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…5e19backed Peter Makk | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…cd11backed Oskari Paldanius | 43c | 232.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Peter Makk | 32c | 219.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Peter Makk | 35c | 171.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 451 | 39%176 W · 275 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Peter Makk | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Oskari Paldanius | 52c | 161.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Oskari Paldanius | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 313 | 55.3%173 W · 140 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Peter Makk | 36c | 128.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 309 | 25.9%80 W · 229 L | -29.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Oskari Paldanius | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Peter Makk | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Oskari Paldanius | 40c | 118.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Oskari Paldanius | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Oskari Paldanius | 40c | 114.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Peter Makk | 55c | 98.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Peter Makk | 66c | 96.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Oskari Paldanius | 79c | 84.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oskari Paldanius | 53c | 84.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Oskari Paldanius | 44c | 84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Peter Makk | 63c | 75.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Oskari Paldanius | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 370 | 65.1%241 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Peter Makk | 41c | 68.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Oskari Paldanius | 46c | 66.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Oskari Paldanius | 30c | 64.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Oskari Paldanius | 41c | 56.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Oskari Paldanius | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Oskari Paldanius | 65c | 47.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Peter Makk | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 309 | 69.6%215 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Peter Makk | 29c | 42.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Oskari Paldanius | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Peter Makk | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Oskari Paldanius | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Peter Makk | 66c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Peter Makk | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 406 | 63.8%259 W · 147 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Peter Makk | 48c | 30.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Peter Makk | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 897 | 41.7%374 W · 523 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Peter Makk | 60c | 28.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Peter Makk | 61c | 20.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 492 | 51.6%254 W · 238 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Oskari Paldanius | 68c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Peter Makk | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.