Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebae7f79e1ed96b983596ebc6b0c65b0b92f8cb381821b634048e8905349b606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 3,890$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.25 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Inner Circle | 31c | 930.62$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.96 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Inner Circle | 68c | 890.11$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle | 55c | 772.57$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.27 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 750$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Inner Circle | 3c | 656.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Inner Circle | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…e85ebacked Inner Circle | 35c | 442.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Inner Circle | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…e051backed Inner Circle | 9c | 199.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Inner Circle | 30c | 170.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle | 35c | 142.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yellow Submarine | 30c | 141.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Inner Circle | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Inner Circle | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Inner Circle | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Inner Circle | 15c | 77.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Inner Circle | 75c | 67.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Inner Circle | 32c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 59.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 66cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 56.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Inner Circle | 28c | 54.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Inner Circle | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Inner Circle | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Inner Circle | 42c | 43.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 37.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508c…2e81backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.