TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

SK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x397e…3d84backed Over28c3,568$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.686960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under74c2,878$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.832,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c1,739$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.187,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over19c1,290$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.432,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610028%28 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over35c290.47$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.865534.5%19 W · 36 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x106f…b8eebacked Under74c170.31$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over12c164.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.793511.4%4 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over16c158.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.931,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over13c108.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.157910.1%8 W · 71 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-59.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2089258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under71c41.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0987745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under73c40.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8411968.1%81 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under70c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.34153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.