Other European Leagues · resolved market
SK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14eb1badb7084076f52af54ec0bdb80237d22355caa4167e69b6e79fac9eacad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 69c | 2,425$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.16 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 54c | 2,007$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.08 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 1,998$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 24c | 1,800$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 1,554$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.67 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 62c | 464.88$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.18 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 61c | 421.1$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 22c | 288.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.98 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 79c | 214.14$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 196.93$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 43c | 136.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 126$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 45c | 111.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…0247backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 40c | 90.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 52c | 73.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 44c | 68.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 75c | 66.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 45c | 64.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 43c | 53.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…4a23backed Over | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Over | 51c | 25.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec94…9053backed Under | 78c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…2e5bbacked Under | 57c | 22.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5this page
- SK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)SK Brann won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-2.5)SK Brann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.