CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebfe19200517f34e88ee367ce40484e1b6c254e0f68155779a2f9e3edce96cd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof RED Canids, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Sharks | 72c | 1,937$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.18 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed RED Canids | 23c | 1,299$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.31 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sharks | 74c | 1,217$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.37 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed RED Canids | 29c | 699.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed RED Canids | 35c | 531.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed RED Canids | 20c | 475$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sharks | 68c | 360.69$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…58bdbacked RED Canids | 43c | 301.59$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Sharks | 72c | 260$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked RED Canids | 39c | 256.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Sharks | 56c | 207.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b5…bd15backed Sharks | 76c | 123.68$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed RED Canids | 34c | 113.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…fd0bbacked RED Canids | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sharks | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked RED Canids | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Sharks | 70c | 95.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RED Canids | 37c | 86.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…ec93backed Sharks | 66c | 72.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Sharks | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked RED Canids | 29c | 65.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed Sharks | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Sharks | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Sharks | 45c | 57.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Sharks | 51c | 51.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Sharks | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sharks | 71c | 20.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…2ec9backed Sharks | 74c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks - Map 1 WinnerSharks won
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks - Map 2 WinnerSharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.