Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Army vs. Colgate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec050c73018f8c701758b87cc022e140d1a38fa6717627c1dc50c270b4c285c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colgateof Army, Colgate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b7c…6309backed Colgate | 70c | 574$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…61e2backed Army | 30c | 476$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b9…801fbacked Army | 30c | 173$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Colgate | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Army | 12c | 117.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…2c94backed Colgate | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…84c9backed Army | 31c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Colgate | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…de9cbacked Colgate | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…4f5cbacked Colgate | 75c | 62.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…92d7backed Army | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Army | 24c | 46.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…2d5bbacked Army | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60f…7197backed Colgate | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…b30fbacked Colgate | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8d…862fbacked Colgate | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…756dbacked Colgate | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ab40backed Colgate | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Colgate | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.