Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec3368e148bdd232d3699b109eb53365d9d7317bee00cffb40669060147be18a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,615 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nemiga Gaming | 3c | 976$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 799.37$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.82 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 665.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.68 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 612.14$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 434.83$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.02 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 382.75$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 301$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 279.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c18…9b0ebacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 267.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 261.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 239.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 186.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…6d93backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 179.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 169.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…2317backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 169.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 122$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 113.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 110.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 81.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…98eabacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 75.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 68.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 67.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 65.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 38.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 34.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…cd06backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0e…ebfebacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c922backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 29.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -7.4wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.