La Liga · resolved market
UD Las Palmas vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec33e4080aa2c261a0c120efefd79497ca3238dc50f4ba04e1659f6d156a002b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 45c | 3,472$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.56 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 1,647$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.54 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,374$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.15 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 932.73$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.36 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 47c | 783.77$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.57 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 2c | 711.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 49c | 686.27$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.11 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 46c | 681$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 636.38$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.35 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 46c | 337.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.41 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 327.58$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 319.11$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.32 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 55c | 257.04$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 55c | 257.04$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 55c | 257.04$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 55c | 257.04$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Under | 75c | 193.06$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 183.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 55c | 176.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 55c | 175.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 55c | 154.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 55c | 154.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 55c | 136.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 55c | 134.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 129.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 123$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 118.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 52c | 110.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 47c | 105.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 47c | 103.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 55c | 76.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 69 | 82.6%57 W · 12 L | +15.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 55c | 75.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 50c | 68.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 67.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 51c | 67.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 45c | 64.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 50c | 54.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 47c | 51.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 55c | 44.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 58c | 35.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 56c | 30.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…fa72backed Over | 46c | 29.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Over | 46c | 29.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 54c | 25.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Under | 59c | 23.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 52c | 20.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Las Palmas vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)SD Huesca won
- UD Las Palmas vs. SD Huesca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- UD Las Palmas vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. SD Huesca: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. SD Huesca: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.