La Liga · resolved market
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec7517f38b4dda02b29233a6ba7c4fea21f65f5072e0cd6f8427f81e34cc1376
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 897.78$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.8 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 799.94$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 18c | 765.45$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 32c | 618.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.08 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 43c | 499.04$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.04 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 58c | 470.37$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.81 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 403.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 370.61$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.24 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 24c | 297.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 72c | 246.94$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 72c | 246.94$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 72c | 246.87$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 72c | 246.87$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 65c | 201.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 35c | 197.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 167.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 60c | 164.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 64c | 114.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 64c | 114.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 106.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 45c | 101.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 79c | 86.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 69 | 82.6%57 W · 12 L | +15.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 80c | 86.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…4af7backed Yes | 77c | 70.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 71c | 63.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…9b83backed No | 58c | 57.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked No | 37c | 53.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 49.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 68c | 45.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 42c | 39.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 43c | 33.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 42c | 28.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 58c | 19.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 58c | 19.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked No | 58c | 19.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed No | 58c | 19.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked No | 58c | 19.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 58c | 19.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.