CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hemmaplan vs HEROIC Academy (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec87883df50dfa01483f8307df39d88d0e4af06842db879014787a115d040a3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HEROIC Academyof Hemmaplan, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Hemmaplan | 32c | 1,270$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.54 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed HEROIC Academy | 67c | 1,200$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.11 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Hemmaplan | 33c | 499.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…55aebacked HEROIC Academy | 68c | 496.74$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Hemmaplan | 34c | 330$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed HEROIC Academy | 70c | 285.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked HEROIC Academy | 70c | 229$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Hemmaplan | 30c | 207.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked HEROIC Academy | 72c | 139.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Hemmaplan | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Hemmaplan | 31c | 81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hemmaplan | 29c | 80.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Hemmaplan | 29c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hemmaplan | 28c | 37.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed HEROIC Academy | 75c | 36.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9143…1f39backed Hemmaplan | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed HEROIC Academy | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.