Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUR.A (-1.5) vs F4TALITY (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecad905411f760f55ed50ad953741be7d58a9b9952c204c8f3d9d5045143d1f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- F4TALITYof FURIA Academy, F4TALITY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,668 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1682…ec59backed F4TALITY | 64c | 530$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed F4TALITY | 62c | 479$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.02 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…5b53backed FURIA Academy | 35c | 402$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…bfd4backed FURIA Academy | 35c | 402$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e4…c128backed FURIA Academy | 35c | 397$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002c…4167backed FURIA Academy | 36c | 375$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5321…32adbacked FURIA Academy | 36c | 369$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…8fd5backed FURIA Academy | 35c | 368$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde08…2504backed FURIA Academy | 36c | 342$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…3d26backed FURIA Academy | 35c | 332$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c3…bbbcbacked FURIA Academy | 36c | 284$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…5027backed F4TALITY | 65c | 283$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…531dbacked F4TALITY | 64c | 282$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…e5ebbacked F4TALITY | 64c | 279$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a17…f4cfbacked F4TALITY | 64c | 267$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e7…606cbacked F4TALITY | 65c | 261$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…cf1cbacked FURIA Academy | 36c | 257$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…9684backed FURIA Academy | 36c | 254$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…b7acbacked F4TALITY | 64c | 254$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…b880backed FURIA Academy | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…e6fcbacked F4TALITY | 65c | 240$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adb…bcd2backed FURIA Academy | 36c | 240$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…8935backed F4TALITY | 65c | 236$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…c06fbacked F4TALITY | 65c | 233$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a43…c867backed FURIA Academy | 35c | 227$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed FURIA Academy | 38c | 215.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…71f4backed F4TALITY | 64c | 215$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FURIA Academy | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed FURIA Academy | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba6…0169backed F4TALITY | 65c | 198$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…dc96backed F4TALITY | 64c | 198$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…e0c6backed F4TALITY | 65c | 189$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked FURIA Academy | 38c | 184$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…3a2dbacked F4TALITY | 65c | 183$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked F4TALITY | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…85d9backed F4TALITY | 65c | 176$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…6892backed F4TALITY | 64c | 165$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked F4TALITY | 62c | 157.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…65c9backed F4TALITY | 64c | 157$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0481…595dbacked F4TALITY | 65c | 156$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked F4TALITY | 63c | 85.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…c482backed FURIA Academy | 38c | 84.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed FURIA Academy | 37c | 81.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…2d26backed F4TALITY | 66c | 32.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUR.A (-1.5) vs F4TALITY (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: F4TALITY vs FURIA Academy (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group BFURIA Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.