Lol · resolved market
LoL: ALMO Players vs GOAL - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed03ddabe9ba7a51f37d97448a619e7cf82f2d7280c43bc8ed8f9418a0e39790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALMO Playersof ALMO Players, GOAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44fa…d852backed GOAL | 74c | 3,902$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.12 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALMO Players | 26c | 2,107$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.22 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked ALMO Players | 26c | 1,580$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.24 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALMO Players | 22c | 1,047$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.54 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a98…3113backed GOAL | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ALMO Players | 17c | 341.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.13 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed GOAL | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed GOAL | 76c | 277.53$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.64 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed GOAL | 66c | 163.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed ALMO Players | 25c | 118.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked ALMO Players | 26c | 100.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked ALMO Players | 75c | 61.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…83a4backed ALMO Players | 26c | 40.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked GOAL | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ALMO Players vs GOAL - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: ALMO Players vs GOAL - Game 1 WinnerGOAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.