Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed205e847774589b6748c66d918e3e2e3cd614307371df733c330fc83dfbeb5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 55c | 7,971$4,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.99 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 7,586$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.7 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 4,300$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 32c | 4,010$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.12 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 45c | 1,413$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.99 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…9558backed Under | 65c | 306.84$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 47c | 254.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 177.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed Over | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…69b2backed Under | 55c | 104$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Over | 45c | 91.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 45c | 59.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Under | 55c | 58.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…505cbacked Over | 44c | 53.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Over | 42c | 31.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Stoke City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.