CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 5star vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed27c4099cb8408d63d5f3f9b8d12c4315b95b9b166636d978dfef91c07eb78c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 5starof 5star, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked 5star | 19c | 631.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.75 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed FlyQuest | 69c | 243.35$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.91 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 5star | 31c | 239.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec8…e91abacked FlyQuest | 69c | 214.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed 5star | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked FlyQuest | 69c | 96.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FlyQuest | 37c | 82.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FlyQuest | 80c | 55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed 5star | 79c | 29.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 5star | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A5star won
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs FlyQuest - Map 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5)5star won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.