Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed29a2236643e8aa4b8b5b02e0e8f36422c905828a08006a1afd97372febf54b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Incheon United FCof Incheon United FC, Gwangju FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Incheon United FC | 38c | 1,788$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.64 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Gwangju FC | 63c | 1,411$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.87 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Incheon United FC | 35c | 664.22$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.75 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Gwangju FC | 62c | 592$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.04 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gwangju FC | 64c | 387.92$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.25 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Incheon United FC | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Gwangju FC | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Incheon United FC | 19c | 125$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Gwangju FC | 65c | 115.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gwangju FC | 62c | 83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Gwangju FC | 64c | 47.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Gwangju FC | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…82bcbacked Gwangju FC | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Gwangju FC | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Gwangju FC | 65c | 15.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.