Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Katie Volynets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed69c3449c4482c0ad18ffb41b5e8eee3e32b79fede2d36cc39991b9445005e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bondarof Bondar, Volynets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f57…ccedbacked Bondar | 58c | 1,782$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Volynets | 19c | 1,608$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Volynets | 42c | 1,546$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.25 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Volynets | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Bondar | 44c | 586.18$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.37 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Bondar | 34c | 413.73$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Volynets | 66c | 412.21$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Volynets | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Bondar | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…0185backed Bondar | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Volynets | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Volynets | 44c | 57.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Bondar | 38c | 52.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9faf…856dbacked Volynets | 63c | 51.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…eb8fbacked Volynets | 64c | 51.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bondar | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…35dabacked Volynets | 66c | 49.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f8…ca2bbacked Volynets | 65c | 48.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…7102backed Volynets | 65c | 48.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bondar | 36c | 42.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Bondar | 35c | 38.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Volynets | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Bondar | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Volynets | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…18b1backed Volynets | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs Katie Volynetsthis page
- Bondar vs. Volynets: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Bondar vs. Volynets: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.