TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: WBG.Y (-1.5) vs Saigon Warriors (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Saigon Warriorsof Weibo Gaming Youth Team, Saigon Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,635 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1316…48a4backed Saigon Warriors47c828.77$392 inWon+$436.7847455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Weibo Gaming Youth Team47c599.98$281 inLost-$2811,26542.8%541 W · 724 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…d4aebacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team52c499.99$260 inLost-$26010957.8%63 W · 46 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Saigon Warriors48c227.08$109 inWon+$118.085042%21 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team52c109.62$57 inLost-$5729338.6%113 W · 180 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Saigon Warriors48c105.75$51 inWon+$54.991,39944.9%628 W · 771 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Weibo Gaming Youth Team53c34.12$18 inLost-$18.086448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Weibo Gaming Youth Team54c25$14 inLost-$13.51,34349%658 W · 685 L-26.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.