Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee0809061c11bb4085d03f5ba0101d06835b0ba9ebf0b21230aac4b7ff75a345
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,474 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x092e…c685backed Over | 40c | 999.46$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 19c | 538.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 525.59$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 522.33$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 60c | 436.36$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.54 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 39c | 399.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 60c | 305$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 43c | 297.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 288.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 25c | 203.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Under | 60c | 152$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 137.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 137.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 107.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 74c | 89.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 29c | 77.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 62c | 67.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 40c | 66.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 59c | 57.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 59c | 43.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…b82ebacked Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 58c | 39.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Under | 62c | 24.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 77c | 13.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.