CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee0a4914717382d410d39d1ed5f6867ebd40554560411cc8c4c5ba486ab65382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof STATE, GenOne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked STATE | 17c | 235.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…3467backed GenOne | 69c | 161.75$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 40 | 80%32 W · 8 L | +7.4wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked GenOne | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed GenOne | 67c | 114.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 138 | 69.6%96 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked GenOne | 71c | 105.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…3ac9backed STATE | 34c | 105.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked STATE | 34c | 104.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed STATE | 33c | 94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GenOne | 69c | 53.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed STATE | 26c | 52.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…2200backed GenOne | 74c | 51.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed STATE | 28c | 50.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed STATE | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 413 | 33.9%140 W · 273 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked STATE | 32c | 46.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked STATE | 30c | 45.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 356 | 38.5%137 W · 219 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked GenOne | 75c | 45.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked STATE | 31c | 43.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e89…2d4ebacked STATE | 34c | 29.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked GenOne | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 443 | 73.6%326 W · 117 L | +43.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 PlayoffsGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs GenOne - Map 2 WinnerSTATE won
- Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs STATE (+1.5)STATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.