CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee243084f82e009bed9069fe1dab014839d9f0742f24c8ff3d639b39dcc86321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- aimclubof HyperSpirit, aimclub
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,111 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed HyperSpirit | 60c | 2,906$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.26 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked aimclub | 40c | 1,850$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.02 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked aimclub | 39c | 822$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.93 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed aimclub | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HyperSpirit | 48c | 480.13$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.38 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed aimclub | 56c | 448.2$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.93 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…4d93backed HyperSpirit | 65c | 304$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.87 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8d3dbacked HyperSpirit | 70c | 264.32$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed aimclub | 41c | 253.1$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…24b1backed aimclub | 33c | 192.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…d65bbacked HyperSpirit | 61c | 170.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HyperSpirit | 40c | 164.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed HyperSpirit | 64c | 155.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HyperSpirit | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked aimclub | 44c | 121$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…fe40backed HyperSpirit | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked aimclub | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked aimclub | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed aimclub | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4baa…fd17backed HyperSpirit | 65c | 77.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…b74ebacked aimclub | 46c | 71.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked aimclub | 29c | 51.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed aimclub | 29c | 51.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c7…06c8backed HyperSpirit | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed HyperSpirit | 71c | 35.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed HyperSpirit | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HyperSpirit | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs aimclub - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs aimclub (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group AHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs aimclub - Map 1 WinnerHyperSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.