La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona win on 2025-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee63068ca7287fc71e51014d223b8d82cbef04bbf0053bda2bb54e117fcf3326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 41c | 4,928$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.07 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 59c | 2,501$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.53 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 57c | 2,157$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.07 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,472$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.24 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 40c | 975$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked No | 60c | 868.18$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 61c | 720.96$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.22 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 60c | 500$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 44c | 275.57$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 57c | 236.05$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…06cbbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 61c | 104.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…809dbacked Yes | 13c | 91.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 56c | 41.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona win on 2025-08-15?this page
- Will Girona vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.