Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeec1ba14de3808a3e632e746a3edc22eae39a78e1fdcd44f97cae8e05615305
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked GamerLegion | 42c | 1,296$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.04 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Team Spirit | 58c | 631.86$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.4 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 505.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.38 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Spirit | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c18…9b0ebacked GamerLegion | 46c | 219.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed GamerLegion | 45c | 195.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Team Spirit | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Team Spirit | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Spirit | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed GamerLegion | 44c | 145.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Spirit | 52c | 133.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed GamerLegion | 37c | 129.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Team Spirit | 17c | 123.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed GamerLegion | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed GamerLegion | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed Team Spirit | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed GamerLegion | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 65.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…2b19backed GamerLegion | 47c | 63.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed GamerLegion | 39c | 60.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Team Spirit | 55c | 54.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed GamerLegion | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Team Spirit | 61c | 45.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed GamerLegion | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 39.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Spirit | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…b6ffbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 38.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…2998backed Team Spirit | 59c | 33.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Spirit | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Team Spirit | 61c | 24.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…2f33backed Team Spirit | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- First Blood in Game 2?GamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.