Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Houston Cougars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef0c04d0334b3882c0f80a1a318c9c5933cffd7c2d1ffb820fef6b989892e983
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Cougarsof Houston Cougars, BYU Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Cougars | 46c | 4,035$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 2,483$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.89 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed BYU Cougars | 55c | 1,569$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.49 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed BYU Cougars | 54c | 666.67$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Houston Cougars | 47c | 550$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Houston Cougars | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked BYU Cougars | 53c | 327.65$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.65 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Houston Cougars | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Houston Cougars | 48c | 148$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked BYU Cougars | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Houston Cougars | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed BYU Cougars | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Houston Cougars | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed BYU Cougars | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Houston Cougars | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Cougars | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-1.5)this page
- Houston Cougars vs. BYU CougarsHouston Cougars won
- Houston Cougars vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.