Euroleague · resolved market
Qingdao Eagles vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef1172dedf5b5bb7f22a2b4ff79c51bffbbe5437e8337bcf254427c9fd46608d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qingdao Eaglesof Qingdao Eagles, Xinjiang Flying Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 23c | 2,074$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.26 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Qingdao Eagles | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 14c | 844$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 14c | 594.11$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 11c | 483.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 14c | 380.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 13c | 350$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 14c | 303$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 14c | 198.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 21c | 191.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 23c | 175.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Qingdao Eagles | 79c | 170.41$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 14c | 155.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 25c | 152.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 15c | 135.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 22c | 126.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 21c | 94.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 14c | 69.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Qingdao Eagles | 79c | 39.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Qingdao Eagles | 80c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Qingdao Eagles | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.